Anybody else want to be as foolish as I am and post some VERY premature predictions? Best Picture Lord of the Rings: Return of the King Mystic River Cold Mountain Seabiscuit Lost in Translation (Maybe: In America) Best Director Peter Jackson Clint Eastwood Anthony Minghella Sofia Coppola Tim Burton (Maybe: Peter Weir) Best Actor Bill Murray Russell Crowe Jude Law Sean Penn Jack Nicholson (Maybe: Johnny Depp) Best Actress Charlize Theron Nicole Kidman Gwyneth Paltrow Diane Keaton Uma Thurman (Maybe: Samantha Morton) We're still pretty far out, so no doubt I'll be adjusting this before the big event... I've sorta put the front-runners first, but the rest are out of order. I really suspect many of the big awards will come down to Lord of the Rings vs. Mystic River - we might even see another picture / director split -, but I'd be a fool to rule out the Miramax machine via Cold Mountain... If any films get a big boost between here and there, I suspect it will be In America, with perhaps more notice of the acting in 21 Grams. I'm be thrilled If I get anywhere near 50% correct! I'd love to see other stabs at this. Shalom, y'all! L. Bangs
Question: I'm a big fan of Tim Burton. What did he direct this year? I thought his next movie would be Willy Wonka, but it won't be out yet, will it? Also, I'd like to add to the nominees... Best Picture: Finding Nemo Best Animated Picture: Finding Nemo (I'd also love for it to win both categories!).
Burton directed Big Fish, which certainly hasn't open wide yet. I think Nemo will win the animated category with no effort. I do believe, however, that the separate category will pretty much mean it hasn't much of a chance in the main Best Picture category. I won't put any money on that, though... Shalom, y'all! L. Bangs
I think the original poster has a pretty good chance of getting a lot correct. I don't think that Russell Crowe is going to be nominated and I really feel that Tim Robbins will get one for his turn in Mystic River. I think that LOTR will win a major award either best picture or best director (more likely).
I agree. I think the studio is running him as a Supporting Actor for Mystic River so he doesn't run against Penn, and I just wasn't brave enough to venture into the Supporting categories yet... Shalom, y'all! L. Bangs
Finding Nemo should be included in the Best Picture category. Still was the best movie presentation I saw this year.
I think the Best Animated Film Oscar effectively killed any possibility another animated flick will ever get a Best Picture nod. Since the former category gives them an easy way to honor those films, they won't bother to consider them for the top prize. Heck, only one animated film EVER got a BP nomination, so I REALLY doubt it'd ever happen again with the other category in place...
well, none of the three from "21 grams" (penn, watts, del toro) were nominated for a golden globe penn was nominated for "mystic river", however.
Best Original Song from a Movie - Annie Lennox - Into the West from 'The Return of the King' a simply beautiful song. There were not a lot of stand out original new songs in 2003.
C'mon, nobody else gonna gander a guess? My revised and final predictions: Best Picture Lord of the Rings: Return of the King Mystic River Cold Mountain Seabiscuit Lost in Translation (Maybe: In America) Best Director Peter Jackson Clint Eastwood Anthony Minghella Sofia Coppola Tim Burton (No guts, no glory) (Maybe: Peter Weir) Best Actor Bill Murray Johnny Depp Peter Dinklage Sean Penn Ben Kingsley (Maybe: Russell Crowe; Jude Law) Best Actress Charlize Theron Nicole Kidman Naomi Watts Diane Keaton Uma Thurman (Maybe: Samantha Morton; Gwyneth Paltrow) Best Supporting Actress Scarlett Johansson Renee Zellweger Patricia Clarkson Marcia Gay Harden Holly Hunter (Maybe: Keisha Castle-Hughes) Best Supporting Actor Tim Robbins Albert Finney Sean Astin Benicio Del Toro Alec Baldwin (Maybe: Paul Bettany; Ken Watanbe) Best Original Screenplay Lost in Translation Finding Nemo 21 Grams Love, Actually In America (Maybe: Thirteen) Best Adapted Screenplay Mystic River Lord of the Rings: Return of the King Seabiscuit American Splendor Cold Mountain (Maybe: Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World; Girl with a Pearl Earring) Yeah, I'm sick. I enjoy these things. I hate watching sports, so I guess this is my chance to cheer and to predict, even if the best seldom are the winners. Me, I'm cheering Lost in Translation on all the way, though I fear it has little chance at winning the big award. Shalom, y'all! L. Bangs
Hey, L. Bangs, Great job of predicting; http://entertainment.msn.com/news/article.aspx?news=147807 I don't think I could've come so close.
Thank you! I'm pretty happy with my guesses. As usual, the biggest surprises came from films I haven't been able to see yet. I've heard great things about City of God, but it never opened in my city. I bet that changes now! The most amazing feat is young Keisha Castle-Hughes. I can't remember the last time a studio ran somebody as a supporting actor (and they campaign for her in this category quite strongly) only to see that person nail a leading nomination instead! That's pretty incredible. I think the nominations are rather exciting this year. As of this moment, I have no clue who the winners will be. Shalom, y'all! L. Bangs
Here's what I predict: BEST PICTURE: Lord of the Rings:Return of the King Possible upset: Lost In Translation The Academy may be split between those who think the trilogy finally deserves some substantial recongition and those who think that it's high time a film directed by a woman gets the nod. BEST DIRECTOR: Peter Jackson Possible upset: Sophia Coppola, for the same reasons. I haven't seen Mystic River yet, though I hear its great. Certainly Eastwood and Penn are a combo deserving of recognition, but I think the Academy will figure Eastwood got his due with Unforgiven. BEST ACTOR:Bill Murray Possible upset: Sean Penn. I'm really guessing here. It should be one of the two, though. I would love for both actors to finally get an Oscar. BEST ACTRESS: Charlize Theron Possible upset: Diane Keaton, though with the generally freaky history of this category, anything is possible. Samantha Morton could pull it off. Still, the Academy seems to love those "career comeback" roles like Keaton's. BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Tim Robbins Possible upset: Maybe Ken Watanabe, but I think Robbins has this one locked up. BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:Renee Zellweger Possible upset: who knows? It could be any of them. Maybe Patricia Clarkson. This category's history is pretty freaky, too. Sometimes it seems to go to the last actress you'd imagine. BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Sophia Coppola Possible upset:Jim Sheridan & Naomi Sheridan & Kirsten Sheridan BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:Fran Walsh, Philippa Boyens & Peter Jackson Possible upset:Braulio Mantovani. City of God is a great film, but its nominations really came out of left field. So now we can sit back until 2/29 and see what happens.