2004 Oscar Nominees - Predictions

Discussion in 'Visual Arts' started by lbangs, Dec 18, 2003.

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  1. lbangs

    lbangs Senior Member Thread Starter

    Anybody else want to be as foolish as I am and post some VERY premature predictions?

    Best Picture


    Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
    Mystic River
    Cold Mountain
    Seabiscuit
    Lost in Translation
    (Maybe: In America)


    Best Director


    Peter Jackson
    Clint Eastwood
    Anthony Minghella
    Sofia Coppola
    Tim Burton
    (Maybe: Peter Weir)


    Best Actor


    Bill Murray
    Russell Crowe
    Jude Law
    Sean Penn
    Jack Nicholson
    (Maybe: Johnny Depp)


    Best Actress


    Charlize Theron
    Nicole Kidman
    Gwyneth Paltrow
    Diane Keaton
    Uma Thurman
    (Maybe: Samantha Morton)


    We're still pretty far out, so no doubt I'll be adjusting this before the big event...

    I've sorta put the front-runners first, but the rest are out of order.

    I really suspect many of the big awards will come down to Lord of the Rings vs. Mystic River - we might even see another picture / director split -, but I'd be a fool to rule out the Miramax machine via Cold Mountain...

    If any films get a big boost between here and there, I suspect it will be In America, with perhaps more notice of the acting in 21 Grams.

    I'm be thrilled If I get anywhere near 50% correct!

    I'd love to see other stabs at this.

    Shalom, y'all!

    L. Bangs
     
  2. fjhuerta

    fjhuerta New Member

    Location:
    México City
    Question: I'm a big fan of Tim Burton. What did he direct this year? I thought his next movie would be Willy Wonka, but it won't be out yet, will it?

    Also, I'd like to add to the nominees...

    Best Picture: Finding Nemo

    Best Animated Picture: Finding Nemo

    (I'd also love for it to win both categories!).
     
  3. lbangs

    lbangs Senior Member Thread Starter

    Burton directed Big Fish, which certainly hasn't open wide yet.

    I think Nemo will win the animated category with no effort. I do believe, however, that the separate category will pretty much mean it hasn't much of a chance in the main Best Picture category. I won't put any money on that, though... :)

    Shalom, y'all!

    L. Bangs
     
  4. Claus

    Claus Senior Member

    Location:
    Germany
    I think Lord of the Rings or Mystic River will be the winner.
     
  5. John Moschella

    John Moschella Senior Member

    Location:
    Christiansburg, VA
    I think the original poster has a pretty good chance of getting a lot correct. I don't think that Russell Crowe is going to be nominated and I really feel that Tim Robbins will get one for his turn in Mystic River. I think that LOTR will win a major award either best picture or best director (more likely).
     
  6. lbangs

    lbangs Senior Member Thread Starter

    I agree. I think the studio is running him as a Supporting Actor for Mystic River so he doesn't run against Penn, and I just wasn't brave enough to venture into the Supporting categories yet... :)

    Shalom, y'all!

    L. Bangs
     
  7. JohnG

    JohnG PROG now in Dolby ATMOS!

    Location:
    Long Island NY
    Finding Nemo should be included in the Best Picture category.

    Still was the best movie presentation I saw this year.
     
  8. rjp

    rjp Senior Member

    Location:
    Ohio
    i think all three of the principal actors in "21 grams" will be nominated
     
  9. Oatsdad

    Oatsdad Oat, Biscuits, Abbie & Mitzi: Best Dogs Ever

    Location:
    Alexandria VA
    I think the Best Animated Film Oscar effectively killed any possibility another animated flick will ever get a Best Picture nod. Since the former category gives them an easy way to honor those films, they won't bother to consider them for the top prize. Heck, only one animated film EVER got a BP nomination, so I REALLY doubt it'd ever happen again with the other category in place...
     
  10. fjhuerta

    fjhuerta New Member

    Location:
    México City
    That's the most powerful film I've seen all year. Truly memorable.
     
  11. rjp

    rjp Senior Member

    Location:
    Ohio
    well, none of the three from "21 grams" (penn, watts, del toro) were nominated for a golden globe :(


    penn was nominated for "mystic river", however.
     
  12. mhvbear

    mhvbear Senior Member

    Location:
    Irvington, NY
    Best Original Song from a Movie - Annie Lennox - Into the West from 'The Return of the King' a simply beautiful song.
    There were not a lot of stand out original new songs in 2003.
     
  13. lbangs

    lbangs Senior Member Thread Starter

    C'mon, nobody else gonna gander a guess?

    My revised and final predictions:

    Best Picture

    Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
    Mystic River
    Cold Mountain
    Seabiscuit
    Lost in Translation
    (Maybe: In America)

    Best Director


    Peter Jackson
    Clint Eastwood
    Anthony Minghella
    Sofia Coppola
    Tim Burton (No guts, no glory)
    (Maybe: Peter Weir)


    Best Actor


    Bill Murray
    Johnny Depp
    Peter Dinklage
    Sean Penn
    Ben Kingsley
    (Maybe: Russell Crowe; Jude Law)


    Best Actress


    Charlize Theron
    Nicole Kidman
    Naomi Watts
    Diane Keaton
    Uma Thurman
    (Maybe: Samantha Morton; Gwyneth Paltrow)


    Best Supporting Actress


    Scarlett Johansson
    Renee Zellweger
    Patricia Clarkson
    Marcia Gay Harden
    Holly Hunter
    (Maybe: Keisha Castle-Hughes)


    Best Supporting Actor


    Tim Robbins
    Albert Finney
    Sean Astin
    Benicio Del Toro
    Alec Baldwin
    (Maybe: Paul Bettany; Ken Watanbe)


    Best Original Screenplay


    Lost in Translation
    Finding Nemo
    21 Grams
    Love, Actually
    In America
    (Maybe: Thirteen)


    Best Adapted Screenplay


    Mystic River
    Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
    Seabiscuit
    American Splendor
    Cold Mountain
    (Maybe: Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World; Girl with a Pearl Earring)


    Yeah, I'm sick. I enjoy these things. I hate watching sports, so I guess this is my chance to cheer and to predict, even if the best seldom are the winners.

    Me, I'm cheering Lost in Translation on all the way, though I fear it has little chance at winning the big award.

    Shalom, y'all!

    L. Bangs
     
  14. quadjoe

    quadjoe Senior Member

  15. lbangs

    lbangs Senior Member Thread Starter

    Thank you! I'm pretty happy with my guesses.

    As usual, the biggest surprises came from films I haven't been able to see yet. I've heard great things about City of God, but it never opened in my city. I bet that changes now!

    The most amazing feat is young Keisha Castle-Hughes. I can't remember the last time a studio ran somebody as a supporting actor (and they campaign for her in this category quite strongly) only to see that person nail a leading nomination instead! That's pretty incredible.

    I think the nominations are rather exciting this year. As of this moment, I have no clue who the winners will be.

    Shalom, y'all!

    L. Bangs
     
  16. Tyler

    Tyler Senior Member

    Location:
    Hawaii
    I think that "The Return of the King" will win best picture.
     
  17. FredCamp

    FredCamp Senior Member

    Location:
    Virginia
    Here's what I predict::)

    BEST PICTURE: Lord of the Rings:Return of the King
    Possible upset: Lost In Translation

    The Academy may be split between those who think the trilogy finally deserves some substantial recongition and those who think that it's high time a film directed by a woman gets the nod.

    BEST DIRECTOR: Peter Jackson
    Possible upset: Sophia Coppola, for the same reasons. I haven't seen Mystic River yet, though I hear its great. Certainly Eastwood and Penn are a combo deserving of recognition, but I think the Academy will figure Eastwood got his due with Unforgiven.

    BEST ACTOR:Bill Murray
    Possible upset: Sean Penn. I'm really guessing here. It should be one of the two, though. I would love for both actors to finally get an Oscar.

    BEST ACTRESS: Charlize Theron
    Possible upset: Diane Keaton, though with the generally freaky history of this category, anything is possible. Samantha Morton could pull it off. Still, the Academy seems to love those "career comeback" roles like Keaton's.

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Tim Robbins
    Possible upset: Maybe Ken Watanabe, but I think Robbins has this one locked up.

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:Renee Zellweger
    Possible upset: who knows? It could be any of them. Maybe Patricia Clarkson. This category's history is pretty freaky, too. Sometimes it seems to go to the last actress you'd imagine.

    BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Sophia Coppola
    Possible upset:Jim Sheridan & Naomi Sheridan & Kirsten Sheridan

    BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:Fran Walsh, Philippa Boyens & Peter Jackson
    Possible upset:Braulio Mantovani. City of God is a great film, but its nominations really came out of left field.


    So now we can sit back until 2/29 and see what happens.
     
  18. Joseph

    Joseph Senior Member

    Turns out Keisha is the youngest person ever to be nominated for leading actor .
     
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