Predicting the Movie Hits and Bombs of 2017

Has it been mentioned yet that Sony have scheduled an Angry Birds sequel for September 2019 to coincide with 10th anniversary of the original game series?

Angry Birds movie is getting a sequel

(This would be a good time for either a cow-milking smiley or even one showing a dead horse being flogged...)

 

To be fair, United Artists was tits deep with Heaven's Gate at the time so they couldn't give Raging Bull the right attention.

 

And speaking of people who've had a lot of bombs: here's an article on Johnny Depp's checkered past...

'Pirates of the Caribbean': The Diminishing Returns of Johnny Depp

It's interesting to read the list of all the bad movies he's made in the last decade. You have to wonder, WTF happened?

 

Pirates are doing what pirates do....raking in the $$$$.

 

I suspect the $30k monthly wine bills might factor into it...

 

But the industry is saying that both Pirates and Baywatch are underperforming, because audiences are tired of remakes and sequels...

How ‘Pirates’ & ‘Baywatch’ Are Casualties Of Summer Franchise Fatigue At The Domestic B.O.

 

You know the current top 4 grossing films of 2017 are a remake ("BatB") and 3 sequels, right?

 

I think a more pertinent question is WhyTF do they keep paying him loads of money?!

 

The Pirates features have just passed $4 billion in total revenue as of this week, worldwide. As long as these silly movies make money, they'll pay Mr. Depp whatever he asks for (within reason).

Yeah, it's an interesting list:

 

The Emoji Movie, releasing in July.

This movie will probably tank, because it's most likely going to be outdated when it is released. Also, will moviegoers want to see a film about emojis?

Does anyone else think this will do poorly, or on the other side of the coin, will it do well?

 

Only saw 2 and 3 and only really liked 3.

 

I questioned whether to call "LEGO Batman" a "sequel" or not. It kinda is and kinda isn't.

Either way, it's not an "original" film, since it comes from a pre-existing property - and probably wouldn't exist if the use of Batman in the first "LEGO Movie" hadn't been so successful.

So by my count, the current top 10 has 3 actual "original movies": "Get Out", "Boss Baby" and "Split".

I guarantee none of those will still be in the top 10 by year's end. The 10th highest-grossing flick from 2016 made $270 million, so the $175 million of "Get Out" ain't gonna keep it in the top 10.

Is it possible the end-of-year top 10 will include only remakes and sequels? Yup - maybe even probable.

So the notion audiences now reject remakes and sequels doesn't make much sense...

 

Pirates I can understand but his other movies...not so much ]

But, hey, if he can get it, well I'd take it too.

 

Why would emoji's be 'outdated' by July??! I think it will do very well.

 

Baywatch = Bomb

I knew it would too because the movie only got 3rd place. Looks like my prediction was right after all.

 

Fair point, actually. I guess my thoughts were more clouded about why the studio thought this would be a good idea in the first place. Regardless if it does well or not, I will give this one a pass.

 

Same.

 

Alien Covenant dove hard domestically in week #2, $10.6 million down almost 71%, see it now would be my advice to anyone who wants to see it on the big screen, it won't be around for long.

 

Box Office: 'Pirates 5' Clears $77M in U.S.; 'Baywatch' Capsizes With $23M

One problem is this thread is more interesting than anyting that's currently on screen

 

Baywatch pretty much tanked then.

 

You see the box office grosses on Baywatch?

Here's a list of all the bombs so far for 2017:

Chips
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword
Power Rangers
Monster Trucks
A Cure for Wellness
Collide
Ghost in the Shell
Life
Rock Dog
Sleepless
The Promise
The Space Between Us

2017 Box Office Flops | Every Movie That Bombed In 2017

Chips is a reboot; King Arthur is a remake/reboot; Power Rangers is a remake/reboot; Monster Trucks is a toy tie-in; Ghost in the Shell is an anime/video game remake; and the rest are original films. There are tons more of these coming out in the next 3 months. How many of these will fail?

One problem with this list is that they don't include the movies that are merely "disappointments." If Alien: Covenant was expected to make (say) $500 million on a budget of $160M, then they have a problem.

Box Office: 'Alien: Covenant' Suffers Brutal 71% Drop As 'Guardians 2' Tops 'Guardians'

 

That still doesn't "prove" that audiences are tired of remakes/reboots/sequels. Just because some of those efforts flopped doesn't mean it's because audiences are tired of the whole "genre".

Of the 12 movies you list, eight of them aren't part of existing movie franchises or reboots. The only ones that qualify under "reboots/remakes/sequels" are "CHiPs", "King Arthur", "Power Rangers" and "Ghost in the Shell".

So that list supports the notion that audiences prefer "known quantities" and not "new properties".

Again, the majority of the 2017 top 10 is remakes/reboots/sequels, and I'm betting that come the end of the year, it's possible the entire top 10 could be remakes/reboots/sequels. Are there any notable "original films" we think might do the mega-bucks necessary to get into the top 10?

 

My point is that these endless sequels and remakes eventually crash and burn. Ghostbusters is a huge example: that bomb was so big, it ended careers, causing Sony Pictures to fire about 10 people at the top of their executive branch (including the CEO and President of the studio and the head of production and development). The recent Underworld sequel also failed, and the Smurfs animated film tanked. I'm expecting The Mummy to underperform.

Baywatch is just one of a long, lone line of TV -> feature reboots that didn't work. And even TV spinoffs are fumbling: Blacklist: Redemption did not do well, Prison Break was so-so, nobody watched the TV remake of Dirty Dancing last week. Here's an interesting list of 44 sequels & reboots coming out this year:

Here are all 44 movie sequels and reboots coming out in 2017

My concern is that eventually, they're gonna run out of stuff to remake. Do we need 20 more Fast & Furious movies, or 15 Transformers movies? At what point is it just repetitive and stupid?

 

That point was crossed long ago.

 

Pathetic list. Aside from Star Wars and that monkey movie, there isn't a single thing on that list I have any desire to see.