And after a brief absence, we're back to predicting which major-release Hollywood movies will do well and which will flop for this year. Some of these were technically released in late December 2021, but for our purposes we'll call them "2022 films" since the bulk of their release dates will come from this year. Already we've seen West Side Story bomb big-time. That Spielberg musical cost $100M, plus at least another $50M for marketing, and I think it's taken in less than $50M as of this week (and fading fast from theaters). Conservatively, I think it would have to make at least $250M-$300M to make a profit. That's never going to happen. Does it mean audiences are rejecting musicals? I dunno: Greatest Showman defied the odds and went from "the little film that could" to bringing in a whopping $434 million, which I think nobody in their wildest dreams ever imagined. While there was a lot of fan interest in Matrix: Resurrections, I think the reality is after more than 18 years, maybe they waited too long, and the actors were too old to connect to a younger audience. It didn't help that it cost somewhere north of $190M and has only made $100M as of this week. My guess is that they'd have to hit $400M to break even... and you're living in another dimension if you think that's ever going to happen. Reviews were middling at best. A big action film I hadn't thought about much was King's Man, and that wound up bombing big-time: Why ‘The King’s Man’ Was A Predictable Box Office Disaster I think this article is a sobering analysis of why movies like this fail, and the lessons learned from sequels that can't bring the original audiences back to the theaters. And in the hits category, Spiderman: No Way Home shows no sign of stopping, and it just hit $1.4 billion dollars as of this week. The only question now is whether it'll hit $2 billion worldwide in the next month or two. We're going back to see it in Imax tomorrow, and I'm going to look for all the Easter Eggs I missed the first time.